Back to work and have a good breakfast

Statistics of confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia in the world exceeded 10 million on the 28th, and this is probably the tip of the iceberg of the actual number of infected people. The director of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates that the number of confirmed cases found in the United States is only 1/10 of those actually infected. If the global situation is estimated according to this ratio in the United States, then the actual number of infected people in the world today may have been around 100 million.

China is probably the country with the strongest surveillance and extermination of the new crown epidemic in the world. After the first wave of the epidemic was brought under control, every new case anywhere in the country received a high degree of attention. The new outbreaks were extinguished in time, and the local cases of the country were constantly approaching zero new additions. It has become widely recognized by Chinese officials and people. Strategies implemented effectively everywhere.

Most countries and regions in the world are constrained by the actual mobilization ability to fight the epidemic. In fact, they have adopted the “traffic light” strategy of increasing social isolation measures when the epidemic situation is tense and mitigating the epidemic situation. In effect, China’s approach has effectively protected the lives and health of the general public, and it has also paid a high economic price, including expanding the scope of epidemic prevention when the situation is not clear, resulting in the loss of some economic capabilities. Sexual idleness.

With the normalization of anti-epidemic, all countries are faced with the dual task of controlling the epidemic situation and restoring the economy. The extent to which the epidemic is controlled is essentially a humanitarian issue. China is undoubtedly doing much better than the West in this regard, especially the United States. China has almost got the highest score for humanitarianism. After the United States failed in the initial stage of the anti-epidemic, some of them “broken the jars and shattered”, almost gave up the humanitarian mission, and let the virus kill 125,000 Americans’ precious lives.

Recovering the economy is not only an urgent need for people’s livelihood, but also a long-term strength building for all countries. In other words, during the epidemic, the competition for power among countries did not stop, and countries with relatively small economies affected by the epidemic would gain a comparative advantage.

Well, it is China that has zeroed the cases again and again, and actively paid huge costs for this, and eventually the accumulated losses are smaller; it is the same as the United States that regards economic recovery as the axis of social policy, but the serious spread of the epidemic continues to actually damage economic capacity, What if the accumulated losses that led to the failure of economic recovery are even smaller? From the data of the first quarter of China and the United States and the assessment of the second and third quarters, the probability of economic decline in the United States during this period will be much higher than that of China, but long-term conclusions need more time to draw and verify.

On the whole, China has the ability to control the outbreaks from time to time, so that we are in the position of “advance, attack and retreat”, which is definitely our advantage. But we cannot be intoxicated by this advantage. We must see that the United States and Europe are forming a new “low humanitarian” ethics that can allow and accept more people to die from the epidemic, that is, the serious consequences of their society on the epidemic. If the “collective does not matter”, their soft power advantage will spread this “low humanitarian” to the whole world, thus affecting the attitude of the future world to the new crown epidemic.

Once that situation is formed, the relationship between different prevention and control strategies between China and the West and national competitiveness may change. At that time, the United States will use its “low humanitarian advantage” to do to China, and what will China’s opening to the outside world face? The new challenge is difficult to predict today.

In order to continue today’s advantages, China must be fully committed to the exploration of strengthening economic vitality while preventing and controlling, continuously reducing the large-scale economic losses caused by anti-epidemic, and improving the precision of anti-epidemic. To ensure that China’s economic recovery rate has been higher than that of major countries such as the United States from now on, it should be regarded as as important as achieving zero new cases.

China also needs to accelerate the research and development and practical application of vaccines than any other country, because “cleaner” Chinese society means that vaccines are more important to us. And psychologically, our tolerance for the epidemic has formed a big gap with the US and European countries, and the vaccine will provide key confidence support for the future Chinese society.

Anti-epidemic is a highly dynamic process. China won the first battle, which is worthy of our pride. But to maintain a constant victory, we have to focus on the epidemic itself and look up at what is happening in the world. Anti-epidemic is a global war. How to fight in other battlefields, victory or fall, will affect the situation on the Chinese battlefield.