Fight for Taiwan, America’s stupidest gamble

US officials preparing to fight Taiwan and China do not understand the extent of the stakes in it. In recent days, many important US military and political figures have expressed concerns about conflicts with China. The possibility has issued increasingly sensational warnings, especially with regard to issues surrounding Taiwan.

But before the United States falls into crisis, crosses the threshold of war, or finds itself inadvertently involved in war, political decision makers and military generals need to face some grim realities.

The United States can successfully intervene in China’s war against the Taiwan authorities, and we will not be worse off as a result. This situation is almost impossible to happen. In the worst case, the territory of the United States may be hit by nuclear missiles.

In testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee last week, Admiral Davidson, the commander of the US Indo-Pacific Command, warned that, in his view, China’s military development is like a country planning to start a war. He believes that China will try to forcibly unify Taiwan in “six years.” In order to prevent this possibility, Davidson asked Congress to add up to 27 billion US dollars to the existing defense budget.

The U.S. Navy, Marine Corps, and Air Force also plan to build new bases or expand existing bases on the so-called “first island chain” close to China’s coastline. According to Davidson, the expansion of armaments is to reduce or eliminate the time necessary for the US military to engage Chinese targets. He added that it will take more than three weeks for the U.S. forces currently deployed on the west coast of the United States to enter the range of operations against China, while it will take 17 days for the U.S. forces departing from Alaska. But the “perfect speed” is “always there”.

So, what is the reason that prompted the United States to increase its troops near the coast of China, thereby increasing the risk of war? There was almost no explanation at the hearing.

At present, the United States and China are in a state of spiraling relations, where one side uses the other’s rising threat as an excuse to expand its warfare capabilities-and then both sides use this as an excuse to increase military spending and prepare for war. Both the United States and China say they do not want war, but both sides are accelerating and expanding preparations for war.

If one day the United States is to engage with China, but not because of unprovoked attacks, then the route we will choose—in the best case—may cause great harm to our military and greatly reduce our national security. ; In the worst case, we may lose the war and our freedom becomes precarious.

For China, the Taiwan issue is not only a core interest, but also an emotional issue. It is very important to understand this. They are more willing to pay an extraordinary price, sacrifice their lives, and may risk all risks to eventually force Taiwan’s reunification. Unless we actively intervene, this issue will not directly affect our national security.

If we finally choose to go to war with China on the Taiwan issue, then in the best case, our ships, aircraft, and military will suffer severe losses; in the worst case, the war may deteriorate into a nuclear war, and American cities will change. Nucleated wasteland, and millions of people lost their lives.

Unless our security and freedom are directly threatened, the United States should never take this risk. Besides, fighting China for any reason is the most stupid gamble.